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Life Boat Drills

One of the most important things about diversification through asset allocation is how it protects you during market turn-downs. However, there are times when even diversification doesn't prevent steep declines in the value of your portfolio. To understand why this happens, you need to understand the different forms of risk which can affect your investments.  Then you should have a strategy for what to do in that situation.  And finally, be disciplined in following your strategy.

The different forms of risk -- the first distinction the financial planning world makes is between systematic risks and unsystematic risk. Therefore, the type of risk which is associated with a given asset class should be considered before making an investment decision.  According to College of Financial Planning text books, investment risk is treated in the following manner.

    "Systematic risks affect whole asset classes of investments.  They can be further broken down into more specific risks, i.e., market, interest rate, purchasing power, and financial risks.  Each of these may impact on the different types of investments in varying ways.  For instance, stocks are sensitive to changes in price when the overall stock market changes in value.  Whereas, bonds are affected by changes in interest rates and changes in the rate of inflation.    By building an asset allocation of investments that are not affected the same way, you can moderate the amount of systemic risk your portfolio is exposed to.

Unsystematic risk is business risk, which can be reduced by diversification of the same types of investment vehicles.  Examples include:

    1. diversifying with in the major asset class of real estate by buying properties in different geographical locations or diversifying among different types of real estate investment properties, and raw land; or

    2.  diversifying by purchasing shares of stocks in different industries or through buying shares of a mutual fund.  Mutual funds generally represent a major investment class such as stocks and bonds, but diversified within themselves itself is a mix of holdings of different stocks and bonds issues.  Unsystematic risk can be reduces by the 'investment strategy' chosen for each financial goal."

It's during these times that one needs to rely on life boat drills. Such as the perspective presented by Franklin Templeton Investments and the piece immediately below.

Modern Market Downturns 

A Retrospective of U.S. Stock Market Volatility

Tremendous innovations have transformed the ways people live and work in recent decades, and yet the primary emotional drivers in our lives seem remarkably unchanged. Financial markets—increasingly globalized and continually leveraging computer and communications breakthroughs—have lost none of their power to provoke excitement, uncertainty, eagerness and bewilderment. When markets become volatile and economic prospects become clouded, even those of us most familiar with historical stock and bond trends can begin to wonder if the sidelines offer a better view.

The long-term upward trend of U.S. stocks could cause us to believe that condition is the norm.  Our expectations are affected by our most recent prolonged experience of an up market.  So emotionally we are unprepared.  But sometimes sudden downturns  have endured. To give you greater insight into those moments, lets focus on three events in recent years when U.S. markets were sorely tested:

October 19, 1987: A historic drop of 22.61% in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) that became known as “Black Monday”

October 27, 1997: A sell-off of 554.26 points (7.18%) in the DJIA that put a decade of market evolution to trial and became known as “Bloody Monday”

September 17, 2001: A challenge to the resilience of U.S. financial markets in the wake of the 9/11 attacks.

The picture that emerges from this retrospective is one of exchanges, regulators and central bankers using the hard-won experience of past downturns to help stabilize current conditions. Nonetheless, unpredictable markets remain precisely that.  The question ultimately becomes: What can an individual investor do to ride out volatility? The answer is work with an experienced financial expert.

We at AAP are trained to help you develop the Life Boat Drills which will help you ride out the stormy waves of investment risks.  Contact  us to set up an appointment to review your Life Boat strategy.

 

 

 

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Last modified: 09/09/10.